Nutriaitch Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 so there are still 2 SEC games to be finalized for the weekend, but neither will affect our standings this week. We are currently sitting in 11th place with 3 teams all tied for 12th behind us. Mizzou (playing right now) can take over 12th to themselves with a win and move to 1 game back of us. Alabama (playing against Mizzou right now) has a 3.5 game lead over us KY and UGA have 3 game leads. Auburn is heating up a little bit, so they will not be a pushover next weekend. but we absolutely MUST take the series. We're currently up 2 games on them in standings, so dropping the series would put us in a tie (with them having tie breaker). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 2, 2021 Author Share Posted May 2, 2021 so Mizzou lost putting them at 5-16 and still in 3 way tie at bottom of the conference. Alabama winning puts them at 11-10 and 4 full games ahead of us now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 thanks to everyone that needed to lose actually losing yesterday, we still knocked a game off our magic number. it’s now down to 4 with 6 to go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 this weekend: A&M travels to Auburn Mizzou travels to Miss State Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 but more importantly: i think we need a minimum of 5 SEC wins down the stretch to squeeze into a regional. ***4 wins gets us to 13 - really close to no chance we get a bid with 13. I don’t care how good our RPI is, the chance of us getting a bid at 13-17 is less than 10% 5 makes things interesting. at 14-16 we’re 50/50 at getting in. Our SoS and RPI is high enough to push in as one of the last bubble teams. Probably get a CRAPTASTIC draw and have to travel to Cambodia to play the ‘27 Yankees, but we likely get in. 6 wins and finish at 15-15??? Ruston, here we come. And we win that regional! and somehow found a way to end up in a damn Super this year. ***NOTE: regular season record will be moot if we win whole thing in Hoover to take SEC auto bid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 10, 2021 Share Posted May 10, 2021 Makes blowing that lead at OM sting even more Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 10, 2021 Author Share Posted May 10, 2021 29 minutes ago, Hatchertiger said: Makes blowing that lead at OM sting even more and the last inning collapse against USCe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 12, 2021 Author Share Posted May 12, 2021 New projections up this morning: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 12, 2021 Author Share Posted May 12, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 12, 2021 Author Share Posted May 12, 2021 IF we can go on a run and sneak in ..... I don’t know if the committee would give us that draw or not though. but if so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 12, 2021 Author Share Posted May 12, 2021 if we get in, my gut feeling is we heading to Austin Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 12, 2021 Share Posted May 12, 2021 I see Stony Brook projected to make it. Man what a nightmare that was They had like 7 or 8 players drafted that year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 12, 2021 Share Posted May 12, 2021 These people have LSU going to Ruston https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/baseball/bracketology Tech, Tulane and UNO could all make a regional, heck they could all be in the Ruston regional. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 12, 2021 Author Share Posted May 12, 2021 8 minutes ago, Hatchertiger said: These people have LSU going to Ruston https://www.collegesportsmadness.com/baseball/bracketology Tech, Tulane and UNO could all make a regional, heck they could all be in the Ruston regional. i think they would have to win the Southland tourney to get in. Doable, but difficult for them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 14, 2021 Author Share Posted May 14, 2021 Potential Host sites announced this morning: Arizona (Tucson) Arkansas (Fayetteville) Charlotte (Gastonia*) East Carolina (Greenville) Florida (Gainesville) Gonzaga (Spokane) Louisiana Tech (Ruston) Mississippi State (Starkville) Notre Dame (South Bend) Ole Miss (Oxford) Oregon (Eugene) Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh) South Carolina (Columbia) Southern Miss (Hattiesburg) Stanford (Stanford) Tennessee (Knoxville) Texas (Austin) Texas Tech (Lubbock) TCU (Fort Worth) Vanderbilt (Nashville) 16 of these 20 will host regionals. looking at these, we are totally gonna get firetrucked if we make it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 14, 2021 Share Posted May 14, 2021 12 minutes ago, Nutriaitch said: looking at these, we are totally gonna get firetrucked if we make it. That's what happens when you sneak in. Obviously, our biggest issue in my view if we make a regional is pitching. At a minimum you have to win three games in a row to advance. Lose one along the way and there is more. We are barely suited to win 3 games. We have 2 starters who have to go deep to give us a chance to win and a third game is Johnny Wholestaff and you just never can predict what shows up to pitch. Beyond that .... The good news for this season is that we have gotten some young pitchers some good experience. SIDE NOTE: We would be in much better shape if Hill and Beck would have been healthy the entire season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 14, 2021 Author Share Posted May 14, 2021 some combination of Hilliard, Hellmers, Edwards can get us through a game 3. problem is the committee will not gift us a trip to Ruston. they sending us to either Austin or Fort Worth. John Cohen is chair of committee this year. we ain’t getting any favors. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 17, 2021 Author Share Posted May 17, 2021 Standings with 3 games left to geaux: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 17, 2021 Author Share Posted May 17, 2021 So, we have officially clinched a spot in Hoover But let's look bigger picture ... REGIONALS IMO, seven SEC teams are locks to get into a regional. Tennessee Vanderbilt Florida So. Carolina Arkansas Ole Miss Miss St. I'm thinking the absolute MOST the conference gets in is 9, but most likely will be only 8. there are 4 teams battling for that last spot (or 2) Alabama 12-14 (vs. Miss St.) Kentucky 11-16 (@ Vanderbilt) Georgia 12-15 (vs. Ole Miss) LSU 11-16 (@ A&M) First, the good news we have series wins vs 2 of the 3 teams we're battling we, by far, have the easier weekend ahead of us Now the bad news we have to sweep. period. there is roughly ZERO chances in deepest darkest pits of hell that we get in with only 12 conference wins. 13 wins, and there is a chance. 14? i think we're in Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 17, 2021 Author Share Posted May 17, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 It will help LSU if Bama loses its series with Moo State this weekend. Our RPI is 18, up from 20. RPI doesn't mean much if you don't win games though. Think the SEC is strong this year? 8 teams in the SEC have an RPI of 20 or lower. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 17, 2021 Author Share Posted May 17, 2021 49 minutes ago, Hatchertiger said: It will help LSU if Bama loses its series with Moo State this weekend. Our RPI is 18, up from 20. RPI doesn't mean much if you don't win games though. Think the SEC is strong this year? 8 teams in the SEC have an RPI of 20 or lower. i think we have to finish with more wins than them. to jump them. which basically means we have to be 2 better than them this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 17, 2021 Author Share Posted May 17, 2021 note: my above projections are not taking into account anything that happens in Hoover. Obviously win the SEC tourney and you get the league’s autobid. make a deep ass run? who knows. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 17, 2021 Share Posted May 17, 2021 I just wish Hill and Beck would be healthy. Have to think we would have won a couple more games. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nutriaitch Posted May 18, 2021 Author Share Posted May 18, 2021 well, well, well, look at what we have here ... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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