LSUDad Posted July 13, 2019 Share Posted July 13, 2019 NCAA.com awards LSU another top-10 ranking BySONNY SHIPP 6 hours ago Share0 Comments (Photo: Nelson Chenault/USA TODAY Sports, 247Sports) Summer is the rankings season for the upcoming college football calendar and NCAA.com released its preseason top 25. As has been the case with many other sets of rankings, LSU grabbed a top-10 spot at No. 7. “Is this the year LSU finally has a dynamic offense to go with the stout defense?” wrote Wayne Staats. “Former New Orleans Saints offensive assistant Joe Brady is here as the passing game coordinator and receivers’ coach. That should help QB Joe Burrow in his second season as the starter. “Other than that, it's all about Alabama for the Tigers. A 29-0 rout last year proved there's still a large gap. If the Tigers can win at Texas and play respectably against the Tide, an 11-1 LSU team might be impossible to deny in the CFP.” In other preseason polls, CBSSports.com put LSU at No. 9 in its CBS Sports 129 that ranks all the FBS teams. ESPN.com ranked LSU No. 4 in its FPI for the highest early ranking ahead of the 2019 campaign. Phil Steele, College Football News and the Sporting News tabbed the Tigers at No. 7, while Lindy’s Sports handed Ed Orgeron’s squad a No. 8 ranking. Two of the three major polls updated weekly – the AP Top 25 and Coaches Top 25 – will roll out in August and the first College Football Playoff Top 25 will be unveiled at the end of October. 247Sports projected that initial AP Top 25 poll and forecasted LSU at No. 6. Below is a brief look at LSU’s 2019 schedule and where the opponents are ranked in these early polls. Week 1 LSU vs. Georgia Southern When: Saturday, Aug. 31 (6:30 p.m. CT) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Georgia Southern Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 40); College Football News (No. 108); ESPN FPI (No. 75) Series: The Tigers and Eagles have never met on the gridiron. Skinny: Georgia Southern capped off a 10-3 season with a 23-21 win against Eastern Michigan in the Camellia Bowl. The Eagles had the second best mark in the Sun Belt Conference with a 6-2 record. Georgia Southern played Clemson to a 38-7 finish and knocked off No. 25 Appalachian State, 34-14. The other two losses were to UL-Monroe (44-25) and Troy (35-21). GSU averaged 266 yards a game rushing but only 79 passing. Week 2 LSU at Texas When: Saturday, Sept. 7 (6:30 p.m.) Where: Austin, Texas (Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium) Texas Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 8); College Football News (No. 9); ESPN FPI (No. 24); Phil Steele (No. 11); Sporting News (No. 6); NCAA.com (No. 9) Series: The Longhorns own a 9-7-1 advantage and won the last meeting in 2003, 35-20, in the Cotton Bowl. Skinny: The Longhorns’ resurgence under Tom Herman continued with a 28-21 win against Georgia in the All-State Sugar Bowl. Texas finished 10-4 overall and 7-2 in Big 12 play with a No. 10 ranking in the final AP Poll. 247Sports’ college football analyst Chris Hummer tabbed the Horns No. 8 in his way-too-early top 25 rankings for 2019 setting up a top 10 matchup against No. 6 LSU. Week 3 LSU vs. Northwestern State When: Saturday, Sept. 14 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Northwestern State Preseason Rankings: Not ranked due to being an FCS school Series: The Tigers and Demons have met 11 times and LSU is unbeaten against NSU. Skinny: Northwestern State closed out 2018 with a 35-23 victory against Stephen F. Austin. However, a 5-6 finish kept NSU out of the FCS playoffs. The last time Northwestern State made the playoffs was 2004 and second-year head coach Brad Laird hopes to end the drought in 2019. Week 4 LSU at Vanderbilt When: Saturday, Sept. 21 Where: Nashville, Tenn. (Vanderbilt Stadium) Vanderbilt Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 61); College Football News (No. 62); ESPN FPI (No. 50) Series: LSU and Vandy do not meet often – just 30 times in all – and the Tigers have a commanding 22-7-1 advantage with the last meeting in 2010. The last time Vanderbilt beat LSU was in 1990 when a penalty negated a Todd Kinchen touchdown reception on the last play of the game and resulted in a 24-21 Commodore win. Skinny: Vandy defeated Ole Piss and Tennessee in the final two contests of 2018 for a 6-6 regular season finish. However, a 52-yard touchdown pass by Baylor secured a Texas Bowl victory for the Bears and prevented the Commodores from securing their first winning campaign since 2013. Week 5 Bye (Photo: Gregory Shamus, Getty) Week 6 LSU vs. Utah State When: Saturday, Oct. 5 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Utah State Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 18); College Football News (No. 72); ESPN FPI (No. 83) Series: In the only two meetings between the Tigers and Aggies, LSU won 38-17 (1993) and 31-14 (2001). Skinny: An 11-2 record, including a 52-13 victory against North Texas in the New Mexico Bowl, put a stamp on one of Utah State’s best seasons. The Aggies finished No. 22 in the final AP Top 25 Poll and should return redshirt junior quarterback Jordan Love unless he pulled a surprise and elected to turn pro. He threw for 3,567 yards with 32 touchdowns against only six interceptions. Week 7 LSU vs. Florida When: Saturday, Oct. 12 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Florida Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 7); College Football News (No. 4); ESPN FPI (No. 8); Phil Steele (No. 10); Sporting News (No. 8); NCAA.com (No. Series: Florida has a four-game edge over the Tigers with 33 victories compared to LSU’s 29 with three ties. Florida cornerback Brad Stewart’s interception return for a touchdown late in the fourth quarter sealed a 27-19 victory in 2018. Skinny: Dan Mullen posted a 10-3 record in his first season in Gainesville and the GayTurds tied Georgia for the No. 7 spot in the final AP Poll. 247Sports’ Chris Hummer ranked the GayTurds one notch below LSU in his way-too-early Top 25 for 2019. Week 8 LSU at Mississippi State When: Saturday, Oct. 19 (TBA) Where: Starkville, Miss. (Davis Wade Stadium) Mississippi State Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 26); College Football News (No. 19); ESPN FPI (No. 16); Phil Steele (No. 24); Sporting News (No. 15) Series: LSU has an overwhelming 74-35-3 lead in the series that includes 17 victories in the last 19 meetings. The Tigers pulled out a 19-3 win in 2018 behind four Cole Tracy field goals. Skinny: A win over Iowa in the Outback Bowl would have secured a top 25 finish for Joe Moorhead in his first year in Starkville. However, Iowa’s 27-22 win dropped MSU to 8-5. The biggest task for Moorhead will be replacing Nick Fitzgerald, a job that will probably go to New Orleans native Keyaton Thompson. Anthony Schwartz breaks loose for a 76 yard touchdown reception against Tennessee. (Photo: Jason Caldwell/Inside The Auburn Tigers--AUTigers.com) Week 9 LSU vs. Auburn When: Saturday, Oct. 26 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Auburn Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 28); College Football News (No. 12); ESPN FPI (No. 9); Phil Steele (No. 18); Sporting News (No. 16); NCAA.com (No. 17) Series: Cole Tracy’s walk-off 42-yard field goal as time expired lifted LSU to a 22-21 victory over a No. 7-ranked Auburn team. It also improved LSU’s lead in the series to 30-22-1. Skinny: Despite Auburn’s, 63-14, convincing win against Purdue in the Music City Bowl and an 8-5 overall record, Gus Malzahn’s crew failed to crack the final AP Top 25 Poll. Auburn checked in at No. 22 in 247Sports’ way-too-early rankings for 2019 with all five offensive line starters back and the top two running backs JaTarvious Whitlow and Kam Martin. Malzahn must break in a new quarterback, however. Week 10 Bye Week 11 LSU at Alabama When: Saturday, Nov. 9 (TBA) Where: Tuscaloosa, Ala. (Bryant-Denny Stadium) Alabama Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 2); College Football News (No. 1); ESPN FPI (No. 2); Phil Steele (No. 1); Sporting News (No. 1); NCAA.com (No. 2) Series: LSU fans know quite well that Alabama owns an eight-game win streak in the series after a 28-0 loss in 2018. The Crimson Tide has won 53 of the 83 meetings with five ties. Skinny: After a 14-0 start, Alabama ran into a buzz saw in the College Football Playoff National Championship, as Clemson throttled the Tide, 44-16. InbredGumps will enter the season ranked No. 1 in more than a few preseason rankings and already secured the top spot in Chris Hummer’s way-too-early rankings released the day after the championship game. Week 12 LSU at Ole Piss When: Saturday, Nov. 16 (TBA) Where: Oxford, Miss. (Vaught-Hemingway Stadium) Ole Piss Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 87); College Football News (No. 63); ESPN FPI (No. 41) Series: In 107 meetings, LSU sports a 62-41-4 advantage and rides a three-game win streak after 2018’s, 45-16, victory in Tiger Stadium. The Tigers have won 13 of the last 17 against the Rebels. Skinny: Eligible for a bowl for the first time in two years, Ole Piss ended 2018 with a 35-3 loss to Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl. A 5-7 finish in Matt Luke’s first year has Ole Piss fans hungry for a winning season, but the Rebels have a lot of holes to fill. (Photo: Nelson Chenault, USA TODAY Sports) Week 13 LSU vs. Arkansas When: Saturday, Nov. 23 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Arkansas Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 105); College Football News (No. 61); ESPN FPI (No. 60) Series: The Tigers won the last three in the Battle for the Boot and have a 40-22-2 lead after last season’s, 24-17, victory in Fayetteville. Skinny: After a 2-10 debut and going winless in the SEC, there is only one way for second-year head coach Chad Morristo go and it’s up. The Razorbacks have recruited well under Morris but are probably still another year away from being bowl eligible, and two years away from being a middle of the pack team in the west. Week 14 LSU vs. Texas A&M When: Saturday, Nov. 30 (TBA) Where: Baton Rouge (Tiger Stadium) Texas A&M Preseason Rankings: CBS Sports (No. 21); College Football News (No. 11); ESPN FPI (No. 11); Phil Steele (No. 17); Sporting News (No. 11); NCAA.com (No. 11) Series: It took seven overtimes, but A&M ended the seven-game losing skid with a 74-72 win in College Station. The Tigers still own a 33-21-3 lead. Skinny: The Aggies finished No. 16 in the final AP Top 25 Poll after a 52-13 victory against North Carolina State in the Gator Bowl for a 9-4 finish and a 5-3 record in conference play. A&M returns Kellen Mond behind center but loses its leading rusher Trayveon Williams and tight end Jace Sternberger. The defense took a big hit as well, but A&M still grabbed the No. 14 spot in 247Sports’ way-too-early rankings for 2019. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted July 15, 2019 Author Share Posted July 15, 2019 More: Vegas updates SEC win totals ahead of season ByBRAD CRAWFORD 3 hours ago Share0 Comments Outside of presumptive favorites Alabama and Georgia this season, which SEC programs have a shot to reach Mercedes-Benz Stadium the first weekend in December? The race for the next best team, at least in the preseason and this week at SEC Media Days in Hoover, Ala., is a wide open conversation with several different answer choices. Preseason projected win totals first released during the spring and have changed a bit over the course of summer as storylines have matured and public opinion has formed for various teams just outside the national title picture. As always, schedule favorability and talent returning should be the two most important factors in making your over-under selections. Earlier this summer, we picked our favorite over-under bets involving SEC teams this season and have taken it one step further with this piece, breaking down every team's updated projected win total and how oddsmakers at Westgate Superbook landed on the corresponding number: (Photo: Mizzou Athletics) Missouri Tigers (8.5 wins) The word: Exactly where the preseason win total should be based on the conference's most favorable schedule this fall, the Tigers have a chance to make real noise in the East if they take advantage of the season's first-half slate. There's a good chance Mizzou won't play a ranked team until November. By that time, Clemson graduate transfer quarterback Kelly Bryant will have mastered this Derek Dooley-led offense and could have the Tigers inside the Top 10. Ole Piss Rebels (5 wins) The word: Unless you're an Ole Piss homer and expect a trip to the postseason, the preferred pick is the under here. The Rebels would need to knock off a team they're not supposed to in getting to six wins and beat a talented Memphis team on the road during the non-conference. Doable? Yes. But expecting it to happen is another obstacle entirely. (Photo: Matt Bush, USA TODAY Sports) Mississippi State Bulldogs (7.5 wins) The word: Can Mississippi State replace a multi-year starter under center and three first-round picks from the nation's top defense and be better in 2019? It feels unlikely. Penn State graduate transfer Tommy Stevens will battle Keytaon Thompson during fall camp for QB1 honors as the Bulldogs try and find this year's facilitator in their RPO-heavy attack. "It was painful to watch that offense last year," Chris Doering said during Monday's appearance at SEC Media Days on SEC Network. "Can they become a little more offensively with what Joe Moorhead wants them to look like?" Vanderbilt Commodores (4.5 wins) The word: There might not be a team in college football with a more challenging three-game set to open the season than the Commodores. The early-season mountain features Georgia, Purdue and LSU, three opponents who will be favored by at least a touchdown and could be ranked (Bulldogs and Tigers without question). Derek Mason will have his work cut out for him if Vanderbilt starts the season 0-3 and must win five of its final nine games to hit the over. (Photo: Trey Biddy, 247Sports) Arkansas Razorbacks (5.5 wins) The word: Arkansas has four near-automatic wins during the non-conference slate and two very winnable games in SEC play after 0-fer in that department last fall. There's nowhere to go but up for the Razorbacks on offense and they should be better with Rakeem Boyd returning at tailback, grad transfer Ben Hicks likely starting under center and several elite-level true freshman jumping into the mix at wideout. Chad Morris promised that he would put his foot on the gas offensively and in 2019, that should happen. Bowl eligibility is the goal. Kentucky Wildcats (6.5 wins) The word: One thing we know? The motivation is there for the Wildcats, who have spent the entire summer barking over the negative press clippings projecting a team that will fall substantially short of last fall's 9-win regular season. The good news if you think Vegas is underselling Kentucky? The schedule sets up for success with only three projected contests vs. preseason Top 25 teams (Florida, Mississippi State and Georgia). Quarterback Terry Wilson is vital to this team's success and those within the program expect A.J. Rose to be Benny Snell-like in the backfield. (Photo: Jim Dedmon, USA TODAY Sports) Texas A&M Aggies (7.5 wins) When there's a preseason total of less than eight, you never want to circle three losses before the season begins, but here we are. Kellen Mond is one of the nation's most underrated players and will keep the Aggies in every game, but Texas A&M is just as likely to finish 7-5 as it is 8-4 facing an arduous schedule that includes games against Alabama, Clemson and Georgia. South Carolina Gamecocks (5.5 wins) There's value here getting Will Muschamp's team under six despite playing arguably the toughest schedule in college football. The games you'll need to pay attention to here are Missouri, Tennessee and Kentucky. If South Carolina can win two of those, there's an easy path to six victories if the Gamecocks beat North Carolina, Charleston Southern, Vanderbilt and Appalachian State as betting favorites. Muschamp is 6-0 against the spread in his last six games as a road underdog. That trip to Missouri early, who the Gamecocks have beaten three consecutive years, is the ideal setup to pick South Carolina. LSU TIGERS (9 WINS) (Photo: Nelson Chenault, USA TODAY Sports) The word: Oddsmakers missed the boat on the Tigers last fall after expecting them to tumble in the SEC West. Ed Orgeron's team used that as motivation, "upsetting" several Top 10 teams on their way to a successful season. Joe Burrow returns at quarterback and there's enough skill talent on both sides of the football to compete for that No. 2 spot in the division behind Alabama. The road game at Texas in Week 2 may determine whether or not this team ultimately eclipses nine victories during the regular season. Peek at LSU's schedule and circle the losses. Besides the showdown vs. the Crimson Tide, where are they? AUBURN TIGERS (8 WINS) (Photo: Jason Caldwell/Inside The Auburn Tigers/AUTigers.com) The word: You're playing with fire here taking the over on the Tigers, one of the SEC's most volatile teams this fall. If you're confident Gus Malzahn, at worst, can go 4-2 against Top 25 competition, take the over. That's what needs to happen to ensure nine or more wins here. Oddsmakers seem to have solved Auburn in 2019 with eight being right on the number. One of the biggest games of the year, not just for the Tigers but college football in general, comes Week 1 vs. Oregon. The Pac-12 Playoff hopes diminish significantly if the Tigers can win that one. FLORIDA GayTurds (9 WINS) (Photo: Kim Klement, USA TODAY Sports) The word: With games against Auburn, LSU and Georgia this season, Florida would need to avoid the sweep there and go 9-0 across the rest of the schedule to hit the over and better last season's nine-win finish in Dan Mullen's second year this fall. The GayTurds welcome back eight starters on defense, are encouraged at quarterback by a confident Feleipe Franks after a statistically-impressive campaign and believe this is the deepest set of receivers they've had in the past decade. Was Florida ahead of schedule in 2018 or was it a sign of major progress under a new regime? Time will tell, but like Auburn, the GayTurds are a volatile preseason Top 15 team. TENNESSEE VOLS (6.5 WINS) (Photo: Scott Cunningham, Getty) The word: I'm the wrong person to ask about Tennessee's preseason win total here, which I think is on the low side. There's a path to eight wins if the Vols win the games they're supposed to win and then take care of business in Knoxville vs. Mississippi State and South Carolina. Split those contests and Tennessee still hits the 7-victory mark and the over. Jim Chaney was a great offseason hire on offense, Tennessee's blocking front for Jarrett Guarantano should be better and there's veteran leadership on defense second-year coach Jeremy Pruitt expects to give the Vols reliability. GEORGIA BULLDOGS (11 WINS) (Photo: Icon Sportswire, Getty) The word: When there's a over-under total as high as this, you've have to think bigger picture and best vs. worst-case scenarios. Considering the schedule difficulty (Notre Dame, Florida, Auburn, Texas A&M, etc.), it's possible the Bulldogs lose twice during the regular season. It may not be quite as likely, but 12-0 is a possibility too before another expected SEC Championship Game appearance. Should Georgia win 11 games, beating the West champ in Atlanta would be good enough for a Playoff berth — which is all that matters to Kirby Smart and Co. I'd like the over at 10.5, but betting over 11 means no margin for error and that's an extremely nerve-wracking projection in the SEC for bettors. ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (11.5 WINS) (Photo: Stuart McNair, 247Sports) The word: Alabama is by no means invincible, but this might be the most talented team Saban has put together in Tuscaloosa and that coupled with an easy slate (by SEC West standards) means an unbeaten regular season is there for the taking. The only games you'll need to worry about are Texas A&M, LSU and Auburn. But even then, the Crimson Tide will be double-digit favorites (most likely) in each. This squad is on a mission to get back to the Playoff to try and avenge January's embarrassing setback vs. Clemson. There's no margin for error by taking the over here but as long as Tua Tagovailoa stays healthy, you should feel pretty confident in this pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted August 26, 2019 Author Share Posted August 26, 2019 Update: ESPN FPI updates LSU's 2019 wins and losses BySONNY SHIPP 9 hours ago Share5 Comments (Photo: Andy Altenburger, 247Sports) ESPN released its initial Football Power Index in July and LSU grabbed the No. 4 spot after starting 2018 off at No. 26. A little more than six weeks after the first release, ESPN made some tweaks to the rankings, but the Tigers held steady at No. 4 with only Clemson, Alabama and Georgia ahead of Ed Orgeron’s squad. LSU’s FPI improved slightly from 21.7 to 21.8 – just 0.4 behind Georgia, an increase of 0.2. The Tigers’ strength of schedule is still ranked 10th in America. The FPI gives LSU a 1.6 percent chance of winning out, a small improvement from 1.5, and the chance of winning the SEC improved from 11.6 to 12.0 percent. For those who are not familiar with the FPI, “FPI is our predictive rating system for college football teams that we use to fuel our predictions and projections before and during the season,” per ESPN.com. Factors used in the preseason model include: Team performance over the past four seasons (most emphasis on last season) Returning starters at quarterback, on offense overall and on defense Whether a team has a returning head coach Recruiting rankings over the past four seasons The key thing to remember with FPI is that it is predicting team strength and is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance throughout the season. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily during the season. The latest update includes LSU’s probability of winning each game on the 2019 schedule. Let’s look at those projected results… LSU vs. Georgia Southern FPI gives LSU a 96.7 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Aug. 31 Location: Tiger Stadium Georgia Southern 2019 FPI Ranking: 75 Georgia Southern 2019 FPI: -3.0 Georgia Southern Strength of Schedule: 102 Georgia Southern Projected Win-Loss Probability: 7.6-4.7 Series History: This is the first meeting between the two programs. LSU vs. Texas FPI gives LSU a 74.6 percent chance of winning (An increase from 74.4 percent from previous update) Date: Saturday, Sept. 7 Location: Austin, Texas Texas 2019 FPI Ranking: 29 Texas 2019 FPI: 9.2 Texas Strength of Schedule: 39 Texas Projected Win-Loss Probability: 7.8-4.5 Series History: The two programs have met 17 times with Texas holding a slim 9-7-1 advantage. The Longhorns won the last meeting in the Cotton Bowl, 35-20, on New Year’s Day following the 2002 campaign. Prior to that, the two teams had not met since the 1963 Cotton Bowl. LSU and Texas will meet again in 2020, this time in Baton Rouge. LSU vs. Northwestern State FPI gives LSU a 99.8 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Sept. 14 Location: Tiger Stadium Northwestern State 2019 FPI Ranking: Not ranked due to being an FCS school Northwestern State 2019 FPI: Not assigned due to being an FCS school Series History: The Tigers have won all 11 previous meetings. LSU vs. Vanderbilt FPI gives LSU an 84.1 percent chance of winning (A small change from 84.0 percent from previous update) Date: Saturday, Sept. 21 Location: Nashville, Tenn. Vanderbilt 2019 FPI Ranking: 48 Vanderbilt 2019 FPI: 3.9 Vanderbilt Strength of Schedule: 14 Vanderbilt Projected Win-Loss Probability: 5.2-6.8 Series History: LSU owns a seven-game win streak and is 22-7-1 in a series that dates back to 1902. The last win against LSU came in 1990 when Todd Kinchen caught a Hail Mary with seconds left on the clock that would have given the Tigers the victory. However, a pass interference call on Kinchen negated the score and ended the game on an offensive penalty for a 24-21 Vandy win. Prior to that, Vanderbilt’s last win against LSU was in 1957. LSU vs. Utah State FPI gives LSU a 97.8 percent chance of winning (A small drop from 97.9 percent in previous update) Date: Saturday, Oct. 5 Location: Tiger Stadium Utah State 2019 FPI Ranking: 83 Utah State 2019 FPI: -4.3 Utah State Strength of Schedule: 70 Utah State Projected Win-Loss Probability: 5.6-6.4 Series History: LSU won the two previous meetings with both in Tiger Stadium. The Tigers won the first contest in 1993, 38-17, and again in 2001, 31-14. LSU vs. Florida FPI gives LSU a 72.7 percent chance of winning (An increase from 70.3 percent from previous update) Date: Saturday, Oct. 5 Location: Tiger Stadium Florida 2019 FPI Ranking: 6 Florida 2019 FPI: 16.7 Florida Strength of Schedule: 2 Florida Projected Win-Loss Probability: 8.2-3.9 Series History: This series has been about as even as it could be in the past 20 meetings with each program claiming 10 victories. Last year, Florida handed LSU its first loss of the season in the 27-19 victory in The Swamp. A pair of Joe Burrow interceptions in the fourth quarter – one returned for a touchdown – put the game on ice and gave the GayTurds a 33-29-3 advantage in the series. The Tigers have a slim 6-5 lead in games played in Tiger Stadium since LSU knocked off the No. 1-ranked GayTurds, 28-21, in 1997. (Photo: Derick E. Hingle, USA TODAY Sports) LSU vs. Mississippi State FPI gives LSU a 65.3 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Oct. 19 Location: Starkville, Miss. Mississippi State 2019 FPI Ranking: 15 Mississippi State 2019 FPI: 13.8 Mississippi State Strength of Schedule: 20 Mississippi State Projected Win-Loss Probability: 7.7-4.3 Series History: The Tigers have dominated the series, winning 29 of the last 34 meetings and owning a 74-35-3 overall lead. The Bulldogs, however, have won two of the last five games, including a 37-7 thrashing of Ed Orgeron’s Tigers in his first full season without the interim tag in 2017. LSU vs. Auburn FPI gives LSU a 71.8 percent chance of winning (A small increase from 71.8 from previous update) Date: Saturday, Oct. 26 Location: Tiger Stadium Auburn 2019 FPI Ranking: 8 Auburn 2019 FPI: 16.9 Auburn Strength of Schedule: 7 Auburn Projected Win-Loss Probability: 7.7-4.4 Series History: Each fanbase is familiar with the name games this series is known for from the Earthquake game to the Cigar Game to last year’s Walk-off victory. It really doesn’t get any better than LSU vs. Auburn over the years. LSU has won nine of the last 12 to take a 30-22-1 advantage in a series that dates back to 1901. The two programs have now met in 27 straight seasons but only 26 times from 1901-1991. LSU vs. Alabama FPI gives LSU a 25.2 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Nov. 9 Location: Tuscaloosa, Ala. Alabama 2019 FPI Ranking: 2 Alabama 2019 FPI: 27.9 Alabama Strength of Schedule: 20 Alabama Projected Win-Loss Probability: 11.0-1.6 FPI gives LSU a 25.2 percent chance of winning Series History: 0-8 is entrenched in every LSU fan’s mind as the Tigers have not beaten the Tide since 2011. Prior to the eight-game skid, LSU had won nine of the previous 12 meetings in a series the Crimson Tide holds a distinct advantage in with a 53-25-5 overall record. LSU vs. Ole Piss FPI gives LSU an 82.6 percent chance of winning (A small drop from 82.7 percent from previous update) Date: Saturday, Nov. 16 Location: Oxford, Miss. Ole Piss 2019 FPI Ranking: 40 Ole Piss 2019 FPI: 6.2 Ole Piss Strength of Schedule: 19 Ole Piss Projected Win-Loss Probability: 5.8-6.2 Series History: LSU has won seven of the last nine Magnolia Bowls with the two lone setbacks over that span in Oxford – the site of this year’s contest. Since 2002, Ole Piss has won only four times in 17 tries. The Tigers own a 62-40-4 advantage in the series that dates back to 1894. (Photo: Stephen Lew, USA TODAY Sports) LSU vs. Arkansas FPI gives LSU a 94.2 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Nov. 23 Location: Tiger Stadium Arkansas 2019 FPI Ranking: 59 Arkansas 2019 FPI: 0.6 Arkansas Strength of Schedule: 24 Arkansas Projected Win-Loss Probability: 4.8-7.2 Series History: The Golden Boot has resided in Baton Rouge for the last three years and six of the last eight with Arkansas winning back-to-back games in 2014 and 2015. The Tigers lead the overall series 40-22-2 and own a 12-6 advantage dating back to 2003. LSU vs. Texas A&M FPI gives LSU a 73.4 percent chance of winning (No change from previous update) Date: Saturday, Nov. 30 Location: Tiger Stadium 5COMMENTS Texas A&M 2019 FPI Ranking: 11 Texas A&M 2019 FPI: 16.2 Texas A&M Strength of Schedule: 11 Texas A&M Projected Win-Loss Probability: 7.4-4.7 Series History: The Aggies ended a seven-game losing streak in the series with a 74-72 win in seven overtimes last season at Kyle Field. The Tigers own a 33-21-3 advantage in the overall meetings and are 6-1 against A&M since the Aggies joined the SEC in 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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