LSUDad Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 Florida is the best school in the country at producing NFL draft busts Steven Ruiz April 21, 2016 2:23 pm ADVERTISEMENT Sponsored Video Sponsored by census.gov It’s almost impossible to predict NFL draft busts. While not a perfect indicator of future success, the school a prospect attends seems to be one of the more significant factors. With that in mind, we took a look back at the last 15 years of NFL draft busts and broke them down by school. Here are the results… (Note: The 2015 draft class is not included in these numbers.) We start with the schools that produce the riskiest draft prospects: Every Power-5 conference is represented here except for the Pac-12. USC and Cal are the only schools from the conference that have produced a significant number of first-round picks, which is the main reason the Pac-12 avoided the list. Here are the schools that produce safer picks. Here we have a school from every Power-5 conference, so it’s apparent that conference affiliation has little to do with the success of a given draft pick. The common denominator with these schools is each has won a national title since 1999, while only two of the schools with the most busts have in that time. Make of that what you will. Some teams may be scared off by small school prospects, but the numbers show drafting a player from a bigger school is not much safer. The sample size isn’t very large for small-school first-rounders, so the 2002 draft throws off the numbers a bit. The four small-school guys taken in that first round — David Carr (Fresno State), Ashley Lelie (Hawaii), Bryan Thomas (UAB) and Patrick Ramsey (Tulane) — ended up as busts. Take that class out of the equation, and the small-school bust percentage drops to 30.5%, which is right in line with the Power-5 schools. A couple lessons to take away from this: Teams shouldn’t write off a player who went to a small school, avoid players from Florida colleges located outside of Miami and do not draft Penn State pass rushers — we’re looking at you, Carl Nassib. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dachsie Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 (edited) 13 hours ago, LSUDad said: aTm still fighting the hurt. Talent disparity between LSU, A&M on full display in NFL draft Brent Zwerneman , Houston Chronicle April 28, 2020 Updated: April 28, 2020 8:56 p.m. Comments LSU coach Ed Orgeron, left, celebrates January’s victory over Clemson in the national championship game with quarterback Joe Burrow (9) and safety Grant Delpit(7), who were among the 14 Tigers selected in last week’s NFL draft. Photo: Sue Ogrocki, STF / Associated Press COLLEGE STATION — Texas A&M lost 50-7 at LSU last November, the Aggies’ second-worst setback to the Tigers in the past six months from a recruiting vantage. The worst occurred last week, when LSU’s 14 selections in the NFL draft tied the record for a college program, matching Ohio State in 2004. The Tigers had a school-record five first-round picks, while the Aggies had two selections over the draft’s seven rounds, including a punter in the sixth and zero picks in the first two rounds. Late Sunday night, with the draft fresh on recruits’ minds, four-star defensive end Landon Jackson of Texarkana declared his intent to play for LSU over A&M, even though most recruiting pundits before the draft had pegged the 2021 prospect for College Station. Every highly ranked recruit, and even the lowly ranked ones, dreams of playing in the NFL. LSU owns that path to the pros this offseason, following the record-tying draft and a 15-0 finish behind Heisman Trophy winner and No. 1 overall selection Joe Burrow. Throw in predictable power Alabama’s nine draft picks last week, and the Aggies were overwhelmed, even virtually, by the two programs they most aspire to be in the SEC West. Here’s what else the Aggies see from the Tigers’ pedal-to-the-metal success since last September: hope. “Our combination of experience, with guys who’ve played for three or four years, to go along with the athleticism of the new guys coming in, that’s a really good combination,” said A&M senior quarterback Kellen Mond, a four-year starter. The Aggies, with Mond leading the way, were the last team to beat LSU, a 74-72 seven-overtime triumph in November 2018 that was one of college football’s all-time classics. The Tigers drafted last week were a part of that loss at Kyle Field, so the Aggies know the “mountain” — as Mond dubs their climb — is surmountable. “Our team reminds me of the Kentucky team we played two years ago,” Mond said. “They weren’t super-talented but just had a lot of seniors and were a really good team. We still have to put in the work, and experience doesn’t always equal success, but it definitely helps a lot.” Another thing glaringly obvious following the 2020 NFL draft: Deposed coach Mike Sherman left Kevin Sumlin with top-tier talent in 2012. A deposed Sumlin did not do likewise for Jimbo Fisher in 2018 — leaving Fisher with a legitimate rebuild at Kyle Field. In the first two drafts following Sumlin’s first season, the Aggies had four first-round picks, all Sherman recruits. In the first two drafts following Fisher’s first season, the Aggies had zero first-round picks and only one second-rounder among Sumlin’s recruits. Sumlin was 20-6 in his first two years at A&M, primarily with Sherman recruits, before steadily unraveling over his final four seasons. Fisher is 17-9 over his first two years, primarily with Sumlin recruits. Fisher, who won a national title at Florida State following the 2013 regular season, already has produced two of the Aggies’ top three recruiting classes, ratings-wise, of this century. This season also will mark the first time since he took over for a fired Sumlin in December 2017 that a majority of the two-deep roster will be Fisher recruits. Still, the Aggies know they’ve got miles to climb to catch up with LSU and Alabama in the SEC West, and Auburn has been no picnic for A&M, either, with Gus Malzahn 2-0 against Fisher the last two years. The coronavirus pandemic has done A&M no favors in recruiting, considering Fisher has said it’s imperative recruits get a firsthand look at the Aggies’ more than half-billion dollar palace in Kyle Field and the Bright Football Complex — the same thing Sumlin said before him. The Aggies don’t have recent championships or loads of top-level draft picks of late to sell to recruits, but they do have some of the top amenities in the country, currently shuttered because of the pandemic. Meantime, while fellow SEC members LSU, Alabama, Florida (seven draft picks), Georgia (also seven), Auburn (six) and Mississippi State (five) can’t host recruits — same as the Aggies — all were on prominent display last week on ESPN, ABC and the NFL Network, propelling their alumni into every college players’ dream destination. Fisher has his work cut out for him, but A&M and its assured chancellor, John Sharp, believed in the West Virginian so much a little more than two years ago that the Aggies gave him 10 years and $75 million to get it done. They also gave him time to do it, perhaps realizing he was taking on a long-term project before others recognized as much. “We had needs at all positions,” Fisher said following national signing day in early February. Last week’s draft made that startlingly clear for the Aggies. Actually Zwernemann is a Tsip who is trying to rub it in to the Aggies. LOL Edited April 30, 2020 by dachsie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
houtiger Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 18 minutes ago, dachsie said: Actually Zwernemann is a Tsip who is trying to rub it in to the Aggies. LOL I have Auburn, InbredGumps, A&M and Clemson games on DVR. InbredGumps is my favorite. A&M is a close second, after the way the game went the year before, I enjoyed every minute of that game. Clemson was the most important game, since it was for all the marbles. Auburn is the only game I have not rewatched. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dachsie Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 I wish I had that InbredGumps game on DVR. I keep missing the replays too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted April 30, 2020 Author Share Posted April 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, dachsie said: I wish I had that InbredGumps game on DVR. I keep missing the replays too Sunday 5/3/2020 at 8 pm, SEC Network. It will be replayed. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted April 30, 2020 Share Posted April 30, 2020 1 hour ago, dachsie said: I wish I had that InbredGumps game on DVR. I keep missing the replays too 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted May 1, 2020 Author Share Posted May 1, 2020 Here we go, the Bengals just released QB Andy Dalton. Make way for Joe. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 On 4/30/2020 at 8:53 PM, LSUDad said: Here we go, the Bengals just released QB Andy Dalton. Make way for Joe. Dalton was picked up by the Cowgirls. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted May 3, 2020 Author Share Posted May 3, 2020 Here we go! The National Football League announced the league will carry out its fall 2020 plans and will release the full 17-week schedule sometime next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dachsie Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 LSU is the only school in the SEC who has produced more than one #1 draft pick QB: Here are the nine SEC quarterbacks who have been taken No. 1 overall in the NFL Draft (including Joe Burrow this past draft): 2020: Joe Burrow, LSU 2011: Cam Newton, Auburn 2009: Matthew Stafford, Georgia 2007: JaMarcus Russell, LSU 2004: Eli Manning, Ole Piss 1999: Tim Couch, Kentucky 1998: Peyton Manning, Tennessee 1952: Bill Wade, Vanderbilt 1948: Harry Gilmer, Alabama 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
houtiger Posted May 4, 2020 Share Posted May 4, 2020 I saw a review of the draft and one sports writer said he thought the Bengals could make the playoffs in 2021. Reports are that Burrow knows the Bengals offense already, the coaches are impressed with how well he knows the plays and understands what they want to do. He's a smart young man. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hatchertiger Posted May 5, 2020 Share Posted May 5, 2020 7 hours ago, houtiger said: He's a smart young man. And now a very rich one as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LSUDad Posted May 5, 2020 Author Share Posted May 5, 2020 This one kind of misses the mark. LSU football’s offense hurt Justin Jefferson as much as it helped him by Zach Ragan2 days agoFollow @zachTNT LSU football wide receiver Justin Jefferson was selected with the No. 22 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft. The Minnesota Vikings got one of the biggest steals of the 2020 NFL Draft by selecting LSU football’s Justin Jefferson. SPONSORED BY GEICO Take the road to savings. SEE MORE Jefferson, 6-foot-1/202 lbs, was one of the most productive players in the draft. In 2019, Jefferson caught 111 passes for 1,540 yards and 18 touchdowns. Despite that incredible level of production (in the SEC West nonetheless), Jefferson was the fifth wide receiver selected in the draft (behind Henry Ruggs, Jerry Jeudy, CeeDee Lamb and Jalen Reagor). ✕ Of course, by now everyone knows why Jefferson wasn’t selected higher. There were a lot of questions concerning Jefferson’s ability to play on the outside as a vertical threat in the NFL (even though he recorded a 4.43 time in the 40 yard dash at the combine). An unnamed talent evaluator told The Athletic this week that he likes Jefferson “as much as anybody”, saying “he knows how to play”. But the unnamed talent evaluator also added “The only worry is, a lot of times he was running free. If he gets pressed and has to be sharp in his details, it might be a little struggle for him.” Buy Now! It essentially sounds like Jefferson was too open at LSU. The Tigers’ offensive coaches — mainly offensive coordinator Steve Ensminger and passing game coordinator Joe Brady — came up with schemes that were too good. Jefferson was basically penalized by NFL teams because they didn’t see him in a lot of tough one-on-one situations. LSU’s coaches did just a good job of getting Jefferson open, which meant he wasn’t forced to use his 4.43 speed to create opportunities. The Vikings are the biggest benefactors of this situation. I think they possibly got the best wide receiver in the draft (it’ll be a bit before we know for sure), after four of them had already been selected. Jefferson, though, is the one that suffers a bit here. The difference in slot money between the No. 12 pick (where Ruggs was selected) and the No. 22 pick is $3.6 million (according to Forbes). That’s a considerable amount of cash — especially for a 21 year old fresh out of college. Hopefully Jefferson will be able to make up for it on his next contract. If he’s as good as I think he’s going to be, that shouldn’t be a problem. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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